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Tinubu’s Momentum And The Futility Of A Fractured Opposition Ahead of 2027



By Dr. Olusola John Ojo, PhD


As Nigeria gradually marches toward the 2027 general elections, the political atmosphere is already thick with permutations, alliances, and calculated rhetoric. Yet, beneath the noise of emerging coalitions and hurried political realignments lies a fundamental truth: no amount of orchestrated gang-up by opposition figures can easily derail the growing momentum of Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

Since assuming office, President Tinubu has demonstrated a rare blend of courage and pragmatism in confronting some of Nigeria’s most deeply rooted structural challenges. His administration has not taken the easy road. Instead, it has embraced bold reforms decisions many before him avoided due to their political sensitivity. From the removal of fuel subsidy to the unification of the foreign exchange system, these policies, though initially painful, are laying the foundation for long-term economic stability and national renewal.

Understandably, critics particularly those now rallying under the banner of a so-called “coalition” have been quick to amplify the temporary hardships that often accompany reform. However, history shows that meaningful progress is rarely achieved without short-term sacrifice. Notably, many of the voices driving this coalition today were either complicit in or beneficiaries of the very systemic inefficiencies Nigeria is now striving to correct.

This raises a critical question: can a coalition built on convenience and mutual ambition, rather than shared vision and ideological clarity, truly offer a credible alternative to Nigerians?

What is being presented as unity is, in reality, a fragile convergence of political interests a coalition of ambition rather than purpose. Such alliances, lacking coherence, are often burdened by internal contradictions. They struggle not only to articulate a unified policy direction but also to inspire public trust.

In contrast, President Tinubu’s leadership reflects depth, experience, and strategic foresight. From his transformative tenure in Lagos State to his influential role in shaping national political alignments, he has consistently demonstrated an ability to think long-term and act decisively. Today, early signs of economic recalibration are emerging: improved revenue generation, renewed investor interest, and a more structured fiscal framework.

Equally important is the strength of the political machinery supporting his administration. Unlike the opposition’s tentative alliance, the ruling platform remains cohesive, deeply rooted, and electorally experienced. This structural advantage is significant in a political environment where organization and grassroots connection often determine outcomes.

Nigerians are also discerning observers of governance. While the pains of reform are undeniable, there is a growing recognition that the current administration is attempting a systemic reset rather than superficial adjustments. This distinction may prove decisive as the 2027 elections approach.

The belief that any coalition, regardless of its internal inconsistencies, can unseat an incumbent government oversimplifies Nigeria’s political dynamics. Electoral success demands more than alliances it requires credibility, consistency, and a proven record of leadership.

As the nation looks ahead, the choice will become clearer: continuity anchored on reform and experience, or uncertainty driven by a coalition still defining its identity.

If current reforms continue to gain traction and translate into tangible improvements in the lives of Nigerians, the electorate may well choose stability and progress over political experimentation. In that context, no amount of coordinated opposition will be sufficient to halt President Tinubu’s path toward a renewed mandate in 2027.

*Dr. Olusola John Ojo, PhD, is a public administrator and policy analyst.*

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